MEXICO CITY.- Private analysts raised slightly to 0.3% their projection of growth of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Mexico in 2025, from the previous 0.2%, while increasing their projections by 2026, according to the most recent survey of expectations of CITI Mexico.
Now among the 39 analysis groups of different banks, bags of bags and other ‘traders’ and ‘brokers’, the greatest prognosis of GDP growth at the end of 2025 is 0.8%, planned by Santander.
While Valmex contrasted with a setback of -0.3%, far from the range estimated by the government of a range of between 1.5%and 2.3%.
By 2026, private analysts increased their GDP perspective of 1.2% to 1.4%, according to biweekly survey.
The report also explained that the participants in the survey maintain their expectation of cutting 25 base points in the reference interest rate of Banxico at its next August meeting.
Soser context: Banxico estimates economic growth of 0.20% in 2025
The median estimates for the interest rate at the end of 2025 is maintained at 7.5% for the fifth consecutive week.
Meanwhile, Citi’s survey maintained expectations for general inflation by 2025 to a 4%perspective. For underlying inflation, which excludes high volatility products such as energy, analysts will wait for 4.03% to 4.1%, above the 3% target rate of Banxico.
“The medium expectation for the annual average of the inflation rate in 2027-2031 remained without change compared to the latest survey at 3.7%,” the document added.
The analysts foresaw a less expensive dollar for the closure of this and next year, as the estimate by 2025 went from 19.85 pesos per green ticket to 19.60, while for the closing of 2026 the prognosis went from 20.30 to 20.16 units per green ticket.
With EFE information
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