BBVA Mexico anticipated a decline in private investment of 7.8% during 2025, largely due to the uncertainty caused by the trade war unleashed by the United States, and assured that the country’s great challenge is to generate “trust” in the short and medium term.
“National private investment becomes super relevant in the short term to generate employment and in the medium term to increase the country’s potential GDP,” said Eduardo Osuna, vice president and general director of BBVA México.
The manager pointed out that the challenge that Mexico has in the short and medium term is to generate confidence so that investments are reactivated.
The institution estimated that in 2026 private investment will have a decline of 1.3%, a figure lower than expected for this year.
Read: Political and economic situation puts private investment in Mexico at risk: Private Sector
Osuna indicated that to attract greater investment in strategic sectors, Mexico must establish clear rules on energy matters; strengthen logistics infrastructure in ports, airports and roads; and digitize the economy, with a focus on Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs).
Likewise, the director predicted an increase in GDP of 0.7% at the end of 2025 and 1% during 2026, due to the temporary dynamism of exports.
This Thursday, Inegi estimated a decline of 0.3% in the third quarter of the year in the economy, which accumulates a year-on-year increase of 0.2% so far in 2025.
Credit, main engine of growth
Osuna also noted that credit continues to be a driver of growth for the economy, as well as the main vehicle for the bank’s positive results in the country.
The manager shared that the portfolio grew by nearly 912,000 million pesos until reaching 1.98 trillion pesos, with an annual increase of 9.6%.
Finally, the general director pointed out that, by portfolio, the family line – which includes credit cards, consumer and personal loans, mortgages and automotive loans – had an annual increase of 11.6%; that of companies, 9.4%, and the Government segment, 4.3%.
With information from EFE
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