Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., Jan. 28, 2026.
Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters
Hedge funds are increasing their short bets against software stocks, contributing to the brutal sell-off in the space so far this year, according to sources at two major funds on Wall Street.
Short-sellers have made a $24 billion windfall so far in software stocks this year as the overall market value in the industry decreased by $1 trillion, according to data from S3 Partners.
The hedge fund sources wouldn’t comment on specific names where big short bets are being increased, but said the focus appears to be on companies that provide basic automation services for clients that can be easily replicated by new AI tools.
Just as hedge funds can crowd into momentum trades to the upside, the investors like to find ‘falling knives’ to the downside, which are seeing indiscriminate selling, where they can increase their short bets. The software space is providing exactly that right now with the iShares Expanded Tech-Software ETF (IGV) down 8% this week, bringing its losses for the year to greater than 21%.
From its all-time high hit in September last year, the ETF is down 30%.
“Hedge fund are all net short software right now,” said Gil Luria, analyst at DA Davidson.
iShares Expanded Tech-Software ETF, 1 year
Investors in software increasingly believe the industry may be undergoing a “structural change,” that could lead to more deal activity, including acquisitions by larger companies.
Biggest short bets
Short sellers borrow shares from a broker and then sell them, only to buy them back later at lower prices and return them, profiting from the difference.
Stocks such as TeraWulf and Asana in the ETF have the biggest total short bets against them currently, according to data from S3 Partners. For TeraWulf, more than 35% of its shares currently available for trading are being sold short. That figure is 25% for Asana. Dropbox and Cipher Mining have 19% and 17% of their trading float sold short respectively, according to S3.

Among the worst performers in the ‘IGV’ ETF so far this year are Intuit, a maker of tax preparation software, and DocuSign, which handles PDFs and other documents, with both down more than 30%.
Some of the biggest stocks in the ETF are also seeing significant hits this year with Microsoft and Oracle down 15% and 21% respectively. Salesforce, Adobe and ServiceNow are all down more than 20%.
On the positive side, there isn’t too much panic on the credit side of the equation yet for the sector, according to one banker, with revolving lines of credit not yet being drawn.
Sentiment in the public market could turn soon, with several software companies slated to report earnings over the coming days, some analysts said.


