The Mexican Institute of Finance Executives (IMEF) slightly reduced its economic growth forecast in 2025 to 0.35%, from the previous 0.40%.
The GDP expansion forecast for 2026 remained at 1.3%, according to the most recent monthly survey by the private sector organization.
The IMEF maintained its forecast of 270,000 formal jobs in 2026, a figure very far from what is required to employ the people who join the labor market every year.
The survey published this Thursday indicates that in 2025, 182,500 formal jobs would have been created, and by 2027, 343,000 are expected.
“At this point we should be generating almost a million jobs (each year),” according to ITESO, Jesuit University of Guadalajara.
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The IMSS reported 278,697 jobs in 2025, but only in December 320,692 positions were eliminated
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The forecast for inflation in 2026 increased slightly to 3.95%, from 3.9% previously.
The organization forecast that at the end of 2026 the exchange rate will be 19 pesos per dollar, and not 19.20, as it had anticipated in the previous survey.
The National Committee of Economic Studies of the IMEF carries out a monthly survey among its
members on the main macroeconomic variables.
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