Latino voters overwhelmingly supported Democratic gubernatorial candidates in Tuesday’s election, indicating that Donald Trump’s gains with this demographic in the 2024 elections could be declining.
Key data
Trump received more Latino votes in the 2024 election than any other Republican president in history and only trailed Kamala Harris by three points among Latinos, after former President Joe Biden won the demographic by 25 points in 2020, according to Pew Research.
Both Democratic candidates in Tuesday’s gubernatorial races, former Rep. Abigail Spanberger in Virginia and Rep. Mikie Sherrill in New Jersey, won among Latinos by 2-to-1 margins, according to NPR, citing exit polls.
Sherrill won the three New Jersey counties with the largest Latino populations: he won Passaic by 15 points (Trump won by three points in 2024), he won Hudson County by 50 points (Harris won by 28) and he won Cumberland by four points, the same as Trump’s win there in 2024, according to NBC.
Sherrill won all 10 New Jersey counties where one in five residents is Latino, and flipped three counties that Trump had won, NPR reported.
The trend in New Jersey marks a notable change from Trump, who had gained ground last year in the 29 New Jersey municipalities with a majority Hispanic population, which tilted in favor of Trump by an average of 25 points in 2024 compared to the 2020 elections, The New York Times noted.
In Manassas Park, Virginia, where Latinos make up 46% of the population, Spanberger beat Harris’ 2024 result by 22 points, according to Associated Press election results.
Also read: Democrats sweep the first major US elections, Trump’s second term suffers setback
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Sherrill defeated Republican Jack Ciattarelli, endorsed by Trump, 56.2%-43.2%, while Spanberger defeated Republican Winsome Earle-Sears—who was not directly endorsed by Trump—57.5%-42.3%. A small number of votes still need to be counted, so the final count could change slightly.
large number
25%. That’s the percentage of Hispanic voters who have a somewhat favorable or favorable opinion of Trump, according to an Associated Press-NORC poll in October, down from 44% just before he took office.
Crucial ideals
Trump admitted his party performed poorly Tuesday, telling Senate Republicans Wednesday morning, “I don’t think it was good for Republicans, I’m not sure it was good for anyone,” partially blaming the government shutdown for the GOP’s poor showing. He also said Republicans lost because his “name wasn’t on the ballot.”
Key background
Democrats’ win in Tuesday’s elections in New Jersey, Virginia, the New York mayoral race and a California ballot issue were widely seen as a response to Trump’s aggressive second-term schedule and the first major sign that Democrats could improve in next year’s midterm elections, compared to their poor performance in 2024. Pre-election polls were already showing ominous signs for Republicans among Latino voters: a Unidos poll of 3,000 voters Registered Hispanics found that 65% said Trump and Republicans were not doing enough to improve the economy, a five-point increase from April.
This article was originally published on Forbes US
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