Mortgage rates relented a bit today, as an optimistic view of the news coming out of the Middle East won over markets. Have we heard about U.S. boots on the ground and renewed attacks? Yes, but markets are focusing on the headlines about negotiations and a potential ceasefire. Admittedly, even these aren’t especially positive newsbites, but at least diplomatic resolution appears to be an option.
The average interest rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage dropped to 6.34% APR, according to rates provided to NerdWallet by Zillow. This is 10 basis points lower than yesterday but 14 basis points higher than a week ago. (See our chart below for more specifics.) A basis point is one one-hundredth of a percentage point.
That’s a nice little dip in what has been a pretty relentless climb, but given how reactive mortgage rates have been to the changing picture overseas we can’t count on this as a turnaround. For more on why mortgage rates have been rising so rapidly, keep reading after the chart.
Average mortgage rates, last 30 days
📉 When will mortgage rates drop?
Mortgage rates, on the other hand, are right there with the markets (and, let’s be honest, plenty of Americans). By “right there” I mean “low-key freaking out.” Mortgage rates had hit their lowest level since September 2022 at the end of last month, with that leftmost integer finally back at five. The war in Iran promptly reversed the downward movement we’d been seeing. Could an exit from the conflict cause mortgage rates to flip right back? It could, but we aren’t going to count on that.
Not to go all Carrie Bradshaw, but … and just like that, the U.S. was at war, mortgage rates jumped, and the highest gas price I spotted while running errands Sunday was $4.68 a gallon (I’m in Connecticut, if you think that sounds especially high or low compared to where you are).

The point is, just because mortgage rates are moving one way or the other doesn’t mean you can ever, and I mean EVER, count on them to keep going that way. We can only work with the information that’s available now.
Freddie Mac estimates that home buyers who compare quotes from two mortgage lenders could save as much as $600 annually, and comparing four or more lenders doubles that. Wherever mortgage rates are, don’t spend more on interest than you have to! Take that extra time to shop around.
Refinancing might make sense if today’s rates are at least 0.5 to 0.75 of a percentage point lower than your current rate (and if you plan to stay in your home long enough to break even on closing costs).
With rates where they are right now, you could start considering a refi if your current rate is around 6.84% or higher.
🏡 Should I start shopping for a home?
There is no universal “right” time to start shopping — what matters is whether you can comfortably afford a mortgage now at today’s rates.
🔒 Should I lock my rate?
Rate locks protect you from increases while your loan is processed, and with the market forever bouncing around, that peace of mind can be worth it.
🤓 Nerdy Reminder: Rates can change daily, and even hourly. If you’re happy with the deal you have, it’s okay to commit.
🧐 Why is the rate I saw online different from the quote I got?
In addition to market factors outside of your control, your customized quote depends on your:
Even two people with similar credit scores might get different rates, depending on their overall financial profiles.
👀 If I apply now, can I get the rate I saw today?
Maybe — but even personalized rate quotes can change until you lock. That’s because lenders adjust pricing multiple times a day in response to market changes.
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